Technical Analysis of America Stocks

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Intuitive and Independent Stock Research

Time to sell Caterpillar stock? Want to purchase Caterpillar stock? 
Need to buy Caterpillar stock? Ready to get rid of Caterpillar stock? 
 
Check FREE Technical Report for Caterpillar (ticker: cat) stock and decide 
Updated regularly - Last update on 17-Feb-2012 
NEW features added constantly

Return and volatility forecasts, Value at Risk (VaR), Volume

Return on Caterpillar (cat) stock follows ARMA(0,5)-GARCH(1,1) model (Student-t errors)
Given current Caterpillar stock close price of 113.95 the forecast for the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '114.24'    '114.62'     '114.56'     '114.69' 

Probability of Caterpillar stock close price to increase in the next: 
    '1 week'    '2 weeks'    '3 weeks'    '4 weeks'
    '53.43%'    '53.02%'     '49.60%'     '50.72%' 

Value at Risk (VaR) for $1,000 worth of Caterpillar stock at 5 percent probability: 
Lose at most $41.71 in 1 day, $228.44 in 30 days and $395.66 in 90 days

Stock price, return, high and low

Price fundamentals for Caterpillar (cat) stock 
 
Caterpillar stock price change in percent over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'      '3 years'  
    '7.7541%'    '38.1212%'    '12.2881%'    '357.0798%'

Average daily return (continuously compounded) for Caterpillar stock over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'     '3 years'
    '0.4040%'    '0.2146%'     '0.0451%'    '0.1940%'

OVER THE LAST YEAR:
The minimum Caterpillar stock close price of 69.85 was observed on 03-Oct-2011 
The maximum Caterpillar stock close price of 114.45 was observed on 14-Feb-2012 
Current close price of Caterpillar (113.95) as a percent of range is equal to 98.88% 
 
The lowest one-day return (i.e. largest price drop for Caterpillar stock) 
 of -9.68% was observed on 08-Aug-2011 
The highest one-day return (i.e. largest price increase for Caterpillar stock) 
 of 7.79% was observed on 30-Nov-2011 

Technical Analysis: RSI and MACD

RSI readings of Caterpillar share greater than 70 are in overbought territory, 
while RSI below 30 is oversold region. RSI 30 to 70 is neutral.
Buy Caterpillar stocks when the MACD line crosses up through the signal line.
Sell Caterpillar shares when MACD line crosses down through the signal line.

Technical Analysis: Accumulation/Distribution oscillator and Momentum

The Accumulation/Distribution oscillator is a common tool based on the high,
low, opening, and closing prices of Caterpillar share for each tradind day.
Momentum calculates the difference between two prices separated by 12 days.

Technical Analysis: Chaikin oscillator and Chaikin volatility

This Chaikin oscillator is computed by subtracting exponential,
moving average of the A/D line of Caterpillar stock from the three-period
exponential moving average of the A/D line.
Chaikin volatility is computed from a 10-period exponential moving
average and 10-day difference of Caterpillar stock.

Technical Analysis: Williams %R and On-Balance volume

Caterpillar equity is considered oversold if Williams R is below -80.
Caterpillar share is overbought if Williams R is above -20. 
On-Balance Volume for Caterpillar stock adds or subtracts volume to
a total depending on whether Caterpillar price moves up or down.

Stock performance compared to Dow Jones Index

Does Caterpillar (cat) stock go together with Dow Jones Index? 
 
Correlation between return on Caterpillar stock and Dow Jones Index over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '69.77%'     '90.64%'      '88.86%'    '83.57%' 

Percent of time when return on Caterpillar stock was higher than on Dow Jones Index 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '50.00%'     '50.39%'      '50.20%'    '50.73%' 

Stock performance compared to GOLD ETF (gld)

Does Caterpillar (cat) stock go together with GOLD ETF? 
 
Correlation between return on Caterpillar stock and GOLD ETF over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '0.12%'      '24.04%'      '7.32%'     '10.91%' 

Percent of time when return on Caterpillar stock was higher than on GOLD ETF 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '50.00%'     '55.91%'      '50.99%'    '53.10%' 

Stock performance compared to Physical Silver (slv)

Does Caterpillar (cat) stock go together with Physical Silver? 
 
Correlation between return on Caterpillar stock and Physical Silver over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '18.36%'     '39.43%'      '25.77%'    '28.25%' 

Percent of time when return on Caterpillar stock was higher than on Physical Silver 
 over the last: 
    '30 days'    '6 months'    '1 year'    '3 years'
    '50.00%'     '61.42%'      '50.59%'    '50.59%' 

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